Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.169300 0.187113 0.205333 0.225320 0.246588 0.268500 0.292742
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.146423 0.171378 0.197853 0.227889 0.260875 0.295863 0.335641
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.127649 0.157229 0.189630 0.227451 0.270087 0.316375 0.370140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.116015 0.149441 0.187080 0.232084 0.283915 0.341253 0.408984
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.104477 0.140486 0.182109 0.232991 0.292743 0.359954 0.440531
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.094431 0.132309 0.177185 0.233181 0.300105 0.376511 0.469311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.085050 0.124102 0.171496 0.231801 0.305075 0.389889 0.494130
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.078377 0.118713 0.168746 0.233527 0.313387 0.406927 0.523067
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074597 0.116706 0.169927 0.239856 0.327106 0.430307 0.559503
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.068877 0.111685 0.166909 0.240627 0.333786 0.445113 0.585690
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065155 0.109075 0.166767 0.244844 0.344597 0.464848 0.617796
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061181 0.105819 0.165536 0.247466 0.353280 0.481925 0.646704
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056186 0.100925 0.162044 0.247201 0.358513 0.495120 0.671447
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052156 0.097148 0.159845 0.248468 0.365599 0.510584 0.699034
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047674 0.092368 0.155992 0.247300 0.369382 0.521838 0.721418
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045375 0.090749 0.156446 0.251859 0.380579 0.542420 0.755445
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.042134 0.087413 0.154260 0.252654 0.386726 0.556572 0.781479
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.038965 0.083956 0.151703 0.252774 0.391868 0.569385 0.805833
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035621 0.079951 0.148123 0.251279 0.394709 0.579162 0.826329
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.033383 0.077641 0.146948 0.253083 0.401935 0.594580 0.854008
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.032491 0.077594 0.149176 0.259757 0.415814 0.618706 0.892906
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.030278 0.075042 0.147416 0.260565 0.421605 0.632268 0.918332
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.029031 0.074147 0.148176 0.265013 0.432410 0.652439 0.952330